6calls on the recordeach with one sentence that would kill it
6still openthe window has not closed on these
0killedthe thing we said would prove us wrong happened
0heldthe window closed and the call stood
The regulation mandates an EU declaration of conformity for each packaging type. Certification bodies provide certificates only to manufacturers, not to downstream operators. Operators therefore rely on opaque self‑declarations, leaving them uncertain about compliance. This creates an information gap.
What would kill itThe regulator’s public API provides less than 30 % coverage of the certificates held by manufacturers, measured by the ratio of accessible records to total issued certificates.
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The regulation limits empty space to 40%. Operators need machinery that can pack tighter. Machinery makers develop retrofits or new equipment to meet the new spec. Certification for new equipment is scarce, so uncertified or self‑declared solutions appear to fill the gap.
What would kill itCertified packaging‑machinery models meeting the 40 % empty‑space limit are fewer than 50 % of the total machines sold in the first year after the regulation.
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The certification process cannot keep pace with the new demand for compliant food‑contact packaging, so operators must wait for certification and are left without sufficient supply.
What would kill itNumber of issued EU conformity certificates for food‑contact packaging falls below 80 % of the estimated demand within six months of the regulation’s start.
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Counterfeits carry a standard number one digit out from the real one. The buyer cannot tell, and the marketplace recalls without naming the sellers.
What would kill itA marketplace ships authenticated listings for the category, removing the need for an outside check.
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Demand lands where conditions turn out good, not where they were forecast good. Anyone with fixed capacity in one town carries the whole risk of a cloudy morning.
What would kill itForecast skill at 48 hours improves enough that a fixed site can be chosen reliably.
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A safety need requires a certified product. Certified supply runs out before demand does, and what fills the gap is counterfeit.
What would kill itA manufacturer commits capacity to this corridor early and publishes it, so the shortage never forms.
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